Fortuna Köln vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
VFR
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 1
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ZWI
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ROS
5 - 3
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
KÖL
1 - 2
MAG
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SSV
2 - 3
CZJ
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CZJ
4 - 3
WEH
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CZJ
0 - 0
KSC
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UNT
3 - 2
CZJ
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CZJ
0 - 0
OSN
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |