Fortuna Köln vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
PRE
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
USO
1 - 1
KÖL
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ERK
0 - 4
KÖL
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
ERK
2 - 3
VIK
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
ERK
3 - 3
OSV
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
EBT
2 - 0
ERK
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
ERK
2 - 3
AAA
31%
30%
39%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ERK
0 - 4
KÖL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |