Fortuna Köln vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
ISC
1 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
DJK
3 - 2
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
KÖL
5 - 4
WAT
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
BVB
0 - 0
KÖL
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ERK
3 - 1
DJK
53%
21%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
WAT
1 - 1
ERK
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 4
BVB
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERK
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
ERK
3 - 2
FCM
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |