Fortuna Köln vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
VIK
1 - 1
KÖL
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1986 |
BVB
8 - 0
KÖL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BVB
3 - 1
KÖL
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVB
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
DAR
3 - 0
HES
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
ULM
2 - 0
DAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
DAR
0 - 2
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
EBT
1 - 2
DAR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 0
ROT
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |