Fortuna Köln vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KFC
2 - 1
KÖL
30%
26%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
LUB
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
KÖL
2 - 3
WER
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
F95
1 - 2
KÖL
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 1
PRE
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 2
DRE
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
F95
0 - 4
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MON
3 - 0
CHE
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
ARB
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 1
CHE
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |