Fortuna Köln vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CZJ
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
3 - 4
KAI
23%
27%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
0 - 2
UNT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
WOL
1 - 3
KÖL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WAT
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCN
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
ULM
2 - 3
CHE
35%
25%
41%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
2 - 0
MEP
45%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
ZWI
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
1 - 2
LOK
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |