Fortuna Köln vs BV 08 Lüttringhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1982 |
KÖL
3 - 0
ULM
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
AUG
1 - 1
KÖL
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
KÖL
6 - 1
FSV
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
OFC
3 - 2
KÖL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
ULM
0 - 0
KÖL
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
BV 08 Lüttringhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
BVL
4 - 1
SVS
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
AAA
3 - 0
BVL
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
BVL
1 - 1
KFC
41%
25%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
SCF
3 - 0
BVL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
AUG
0 - 0
BVL
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |