Fortuna Köln vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 1
TUS
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 0
BOC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 4
S04
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
IDA
2 - 0
BOC
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 1
WIE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |