Fortuna Köln vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 2
ROT
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
KÖL
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TUS
2 - 1
KÖL
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ELV
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 3
BOR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
S04
1 - 3
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 0
IDA
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
WIE
4 - 0
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
EIN
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |