Fortuna Köln vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WER
2 - 2
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 1
BER
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BER
2 - 3
WHE
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 0
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BER
2 - 3
WEG
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
BER
55%
23%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |