Fortuna Köln vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
BWB
3 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
USO
0 - 0
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
SCF
3 - 1
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
KÖL
0 - 2
TEN
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
HES
3 - 0
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 0
ARB
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 2
VIK
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
HOM
2 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BAY
0 - 1
EBT
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ROT
5 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |