Fortuna Köln vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
WOL
0 - 3
KÖL
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
AAA
3 - 2
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SWE
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
OSN
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
AHA
4 - 1
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 2
WOL
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
ARB
1 - 0
LEV
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 0
AAA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 0
LEV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |