Fortuna Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 2
KÖL
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 2
HAL
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 1
KÖL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
KÖL
4 - 0
SGS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
3 - 3
ARB
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 3
ARB
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 0
MAI
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |