Fortuna Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
KSC
4 - 2
KÖL
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 2
WAT
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
SGF
4 - 0
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 3
TEN
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
SVS
2 - 2
KÖL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1999 |
ARB
2 - 0
ROT
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
COT
0 - 2
ARB
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1999 |
ARB
0 - 0
STP
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1999 |
M05
3 - 1
ARB
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1999 |
ARB
5 - 0
ULM
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |