Fortuna Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1987 |
MEP
3 - 2
KÖL
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
KÖL
2 - 1
FCR
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
AAA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
SCF
1 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
EBT
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 2
OFC
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
AAA
3 - 0
ARB
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
HES
4 - 5
ARB
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
ARB
5 - 1
ULM
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
ROT
0 - 0
ARB
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |