Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
ROT
2 - 0
KÖL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
BWB
0 - 0
KÖL
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 1
OFC
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
SAA
6 - 1
KÖL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 0
SCF
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
MSV
0 - 2
AAA
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
AAA
2 - 1
FCN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
HAN
3 - 3
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 0
HER
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |