Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ISC
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
VIK
2 - 2
KÖL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
4 - 0
VFB
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
TEN
1 - 2
KÖL
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 3
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AAA
4 - 2
VIK
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
VFB
1 - 0
AAA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
AAA
1 - 3
TEN
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
FCB
1 - 0
AAA
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |