Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ESS
4 - 2
KÖL
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SWE
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOI
3 - 2
KÖL
16%
22%
63%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 2
MSV
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
0 - 1
AAA
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AAA
4 - 1
GEW
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 2
WHE
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ESS
0 - 0
AAA
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |