Fortuna Köln U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
7%
14%
80%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
FOR
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
FOR
90%
8%
3%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ESS
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ESS
0 - 0
BOC
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
ESS
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ESS
2 - 0
ALA
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RWO
3 - 2
ESS
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |