Fortuna Köln U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
75.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
6 - 0
FOR
88%
8%
3%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
SPR
61%
19%
20%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEV
4 - 0
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 4
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ESS
4 - 1
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
0 - 2
DUI
5%
10%
85%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DUI
1 - 2
BOC
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WUP
4 - 4
DUI
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DUI
1 - 1
KOL
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
1FC
3 - 3
DUI
35%
22%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |