Fortuna Gijon vs Español Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Gijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
2 - 1
RSG
17%
23%
60%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
CEL
8 - 2
FOG
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 76 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RUD
1 - 1
FOG
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
FOG
1 - 2
DEP
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 73 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
FOG
2 - 0
RUD
36%
24%
39%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Español Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
22%
64%
|
6 | 76 | 70 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
RSG
4 - 0
DEV
86%
9%
5%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1925 |
OVE
2 - 2
DEV
70%
17%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
CEL
7 - 2
DEV
86%
10%
5%
|
6 | 75 | 69 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1925 |
DEV
0 - 1
OVE
41%
24%
35%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |