Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
FCN
4 - 2
F95
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
F95
2 - 0
ROT
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
MON
3 - 1
F95
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
F95
1 - 0
KSC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
HAN
0 - 2
F95
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
BRE
4 - 1
BYM
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
BVB
2 - 0
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
BRE
5 - 1
HSV
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
KAI
2 - 0
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
BRE
2 - 1
S04
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |