DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 2-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1967 |
F95
1 - 0
HAN
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1967 |
SWE
1 - 1
F95
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
EIN
3 - 0
F95
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
BYM
1 - 2
F95
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
WAL
1 - 3
F95
50%
21%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
SWE
0 - 2
EGE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
TSV
2 - 1
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1967 |
SWE
1 - 1
F95
34%
24%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
SWE
4 - 4
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
EID
2 - 3
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |