DFB Pokal Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1962 |
SAA
2 - 2
F95
68%
16%
15%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
F95
2 - 1
SPS
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
DUI
0 - 3
F95
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
F95
1 - 1
HAM
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
SVS
0 - 3
F95
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1962 |
SAA
2 - 2
F95
68%
16%
15%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
SAA
4 - 1
EBT
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
SAA
6 - 2
M05
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BNE
4 - 2
SAA
70%
16%
14%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SAA
6 - 0
BSC
87%
8%
5%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |