Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
HER
2 - 0
F95
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
F95
2 - 5
KAI
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
ROT
1 - 4
F95
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
F95
2 - 1
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1973 |
KÖL
1 - 1
F95
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |