Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SGF
1 - 1
F95
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
F95
2 - 1
FCU
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
SGD
2 - 1
F95
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
F95
1 - 0
FSV
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 1
F95
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 1
ERZ
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
EBT
0 - 0
MSV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 0
AAA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 0
EIN
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |