Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1999 |
ULM
4 - 2
F95
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
F95
1 - 1
HAN
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
UNT
1 - 0
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
F95
2 - 1
KOL
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
ARB
2 - 0
F95
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 1
M05
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
M05
0 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
STP
2 - 1
M05
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
M05
1 - 0
GUT
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |