Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SGD
1 - 0
F95
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
F95
1 - 1
HAN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
2 - 1
F95
23%
24%
54%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
HAN
3 - 0
F95
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 1
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 0
HEI
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
S04
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
4 - 0
HEI
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 4
STP
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -2 |