Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
1º
10
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
52.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SGD
2 - 0
F95
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
F95
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 2
F95
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
HSV
28%
22%
51%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAN
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HAN
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
SSV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |