Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
2º
2º
11
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
11 | 65 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
|
1º
|
14 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 62 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 62 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 45 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 27 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45% | 51.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
F95
2 - 2
KOL
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
F95
1 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SGD
2 - 0
F95
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
HSV
26%
22%
53%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSV
5 - 0
SSV
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
4 - 1
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
HSV
28%
22%
51%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 7
HSV
10%
15%
75%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |