Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf Hamburger SV
81 ELO 86
12.2% Tilt -2%
132º General ELO ranking 122º
19º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.9%
Draw
31.9%
Hamburger SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.9%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-5%
+3%
Hamburger SV

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1977
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
70%
18%
13%
81 85 4 0
01 Sep. 1977
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
59%
22%
20%
81 82 1 0
27 Aug. 1977
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
59%
22%
19%
81 84 3 0
20 Aug. 1977
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
65%
18%
17%
81 77 4 0
17 Aug. 1977
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
38%
24%
39%
81 86 5 0

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
74%
15%
10%
87 70 17 0
01 Sep. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
56%
21%
23%
87 85 2 0
31 Aug. 1977
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
39%
25%
36%
87 77 10 0
27 Aug. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
66%
19%
16%
87 81 6 0
20 Aug. 1977
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 4
Hamburger SV
HSV
24%
22%
53%
86 63 23 +1