Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
DUI
1 - 4
F95
64%
19%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
F95
3 - 1
HAM
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BVB
2 - 4
F95
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
F95
1 - 1
ROT
66%
17%
17%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
VIK
1 - 4
F95
73%
15%
12%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1956 |
KSC
3 - 1
HSV
41%
20%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1956 |
F95
1 - 2
HSV
39%
21%
41%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
OSC
3 - 1
HSV
34%
21%
46%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
HSV
5 - 3
EIN
82%
11%
8%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
HSV
1 - 3
KOL
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |