Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
OFC
1 - 3
F95
53%
23%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
F95
3 - 0
AAA
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
1 - 0
F95
37%
25%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
USO
1 - 2
F95
41%
23%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
F95
4 - 2
SAA
64%
19%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
OFC
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |