Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
F95
3 - 0
HEI
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 6
F95
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
3 - 4
F95
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
HER
4 - 1
F95
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
5 - 0
BIH
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 2
FCU
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
3 - 4
F95
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
2 - 0
ASA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
4 - 1
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |