Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1987 |
KOL
1 - 0
F95
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1987 |
BWB
1 - 2
F95
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1987 |
F95
0 - 4
BVB
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1987 |
S04
4 - 2
F95
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
F95
1 - 0
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCN
1 - 2
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
FCN
2 - 1
STU
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
KFC
3 - 4
FCN
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1987 |
FCN
2 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
3 - 0
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |