Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
F95
2 - 1
WIE
26%
22%
53%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
EIN
2 - 3
F95
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
F95
2 - 0
VFR
79%
13%
9%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FCN
3 - 1
F95
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
F95
8 - 1
TEN
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +9 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
FCN
2 - 1
SWE
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
FCU
0 - 1
FCN
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
FCN
3 - 2
OFC
74%
15%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
RAP
0 - 1
FCN
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |