Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 0
F95
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
F95
2 - 3
EBT
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
F95
0 - 3
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
HOL
2 - 0
F95
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
F95
4 - 1
OSN
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 1
EBT
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
PRE
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
WER
0 - 0
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 1
PAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |