Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
F95
0 - 0
BYM
5%
14%
82%
|
68 | 95 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
HIB
1 - 1
F95
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
ERZ
0 - 0
F95
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
F95
0 - 2
FCN
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 0
F95
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
M05
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WUR
0 - 2
MON
12%
19%
68%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ZUL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AUG
1 - 0
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |