Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
EIN
4 - 2
F95
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
23%
24%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1972 |
S04
2 - 1
F95
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
HSV
3 - 3
F95
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
F95
1 - 1
S04
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
BVB
0 - 3
S04
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
BVB
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
EIN
5 - 2
BVB
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 1972 |
HSV
0 - 0
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1972 |
BVB
2 - 3
MSV
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |