Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
VLW
6 - 1
F95
84%
10%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
F95
3 - 0
TSG
40%
23%
37%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ERK
2 - 1
F95
63%
18%
19%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
F95
1 - 2
VIK
69%
17%
14%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 0
F95
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
BVB
6 - 0
VIK
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
BVB
2 - 0
HAM
65%
18%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 4
BVB
77%
14%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
BVB
5 - 0
TSG
39%
23%
38%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
ERK
0 - 3
BVB
72%
15%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |