Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1986 |
BVB
4 - 1
F95
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
F95
3 - 4
S04
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STU
3 - 0
F95
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
F95
1 - 1
KFC
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
HOM
3 - 1
F95
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
BWB
2 - 2
EIN
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1986 |
BVB
7 - 0
BWB
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
BWB
0 - 0
RTV
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1986 |
S04
3 - 0
BWB
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
BWB
1 - 4
BRE
30%
23%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |