Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1988 |
SAA
1 - 2
F95
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1988 |
F95
1 - 0
OSN
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
USO
0 - 3
F95
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
F95
3 - 0
ULM
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
ROT
2 - 0
F95
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1988 |
BAY
3 - 2
ROT
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1988 |
KÖL
2 - 1
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
BAY
2 - 0
OFC
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 1
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
BAY
5 - 1
SCF
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |