Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
KAI
2 - 0
F95
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
F95
0 - 0
SCF
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
F95
3 - 1
CHE
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
MUN
2 - 1
F95
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1995 |
F95
1 - 0
KFC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1995 |
LEV
0 - 0
S04
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
KOL
2 - 2
LEV
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
ROT
4 - 4
LEV
10%
18%
72%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
BYM
1 - 0
LEV
44%
24%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |