Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
F95
0 - 4
KOL
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
F95
3 - 1
BWB
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1986 |
BVB
4 - 1
F95
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
F95
3 - 4
S04
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STU
3 - 0
F95
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
DUK
0 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
RTV
2 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
4 - 1
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
3 - 0
KAL
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |