Fortuna Düsseldorf vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
KFC
1 - 3
F95
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1983 |
F95
7 - 0
BVB
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
KAI
5 - 2
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
F95
2 - 3
HSV
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
EIN
3 - 0
F95
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
LEV
0 - 0
ARB
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
LEV
1 - 1
STU
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
KFC
2 - 1
LEV
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1983 |
LEV
2 - 0
HSV
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1983 |
LEV
4 - 2
BVB
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |