Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
S04
0 - 4
F95
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
F95
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
HER
2 - 1
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
F95
1 - 2
KSC
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
F95
2 - 2
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
ARB
1 - 0
BVB
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARB
84%
11%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ARB
3 - 1
KFC
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
MON
4 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1981 |
ARB
1 - 1
EIN
41%
24%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |