Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1979 |
FCB
4 - 3
F95
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 2
F95
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
F95
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
S04
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
0 - 1
F95
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1979 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
KAI
3 - 2
ARB
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
ARB
5 - 0
DAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ARB
0 - 0
HER
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |