Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
KSC
2 - 2
F95
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
F95
3 - 0
FCU
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 2
F95
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
4 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 5
ERZ
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 1
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |