Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
1 - 0
F95
37%
25%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
USO
1 - 2
F95
41%
23%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
F95
4 - 2
SAA
64%
19%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
OSN
3 - 2
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
F95
1 - 2
USO
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
PRE
2 - 2
AAA
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 2
OFC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
SCF
3 - 0
AAA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |