Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
F95
3 - 1
BWB
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1986 |
BVB
4 - 1
F95
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
F95
3 - 4
S04
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STU
3 - 0
F95
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
F95
1 - 1
KFC
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
KOL
2 - 0
BVB
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
S04
2 - 4
KOL
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
KFC
3 - 1
KOL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
KOL
3 - 0
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |